Sunday's Bay Area Derby has already been decided on paper.

The annual conference-ending match between the Cal women's soccer team and Stanford should not be close, if the stat sheet provides any indication.

The No. 1-ranked Cardinal will be playing for its 20th win of 2009, while the Bears are shooting for number 11. Cal has fallen seven times this season, Stanford not once-not even a tie.

"Their record speaks for itself," Megan Jesolva said of her opponents' 19-0-0 record and 8-0-0 posting in the Pac-10. "But I've heard from people who have played them that think they are overrated."

Overrated or not, the Cardinal offense has 66 goals on the season while the Bears have 31. Stanford has only allowed 11 goals to Cal's 23.

Stanford's best offensive threat, Kelley O'Hara, has 20 goals and nine assists. Compare that to Alex Morgan, Cal's top scorer, who has 12 goals and seven assists.

"There's no question that if we play as well as we can, Stanford will have a game on their hands," coach Neil McGuire said.

The schedule shows that the Bears (10-7-1, 4-4-0) are the last team standing in the way of the Cardinal's perfect regular season. What it doesn't say is that the 1 p.m. match at Laird Q. Cagan Stadium is Cal's last chance to make a statement to the NCAA tournament selection committee before the field of 64 is announced on Monday night.

"We perform when our backs are against the wall-that's for sure," Pac-10 Player of the Week Lisa Kevorkian said.

McGuire's camp needed two wins last weekend when the Arizona schools came to Edwards Stadium. And although it took a golden goal from Kevorkian in the 98th minute on Sunday, the Bears came through with a pair of possible season-extending victories.

"Those games were really important for our morale, we lost a few games that we definitely should have won," senior co-captain Katie Oakes said. "I'm just glad we got it done."

The Bears' RPI is 29th-best in the nation, which gives them a good shot at an at-large bid, but week-to-week inconsistencies have put their strength as a squad into question.

The women from Palo Alto have taken down seven ranked opponents, while Cal only beat one in then-No. 10 Texas A&M and tied with then-No.11 Santa Clara.

Several weeks ago, Jesolva said that her team had held its own with the best, but now needed to "put it on paper." And could very well be the Bears' last chance.

"They need to know how to lose, whether it's on Sunday or in the tournament, they are going to have to lose sometime," Jesolva said. "It might as well be to us."

Tags: ALEX MORGAN, CAL WOMEN'S SOCCER, LISA KEVORKIAN